Strategy · Analytics · Finance
Michael Vitale
I work in healthcare financial transformation at Guidehouse and studied finance and risk management at UW–Madison. This site collects my consulting and analytics work, finance and risk projects, and tools I have built on my own.
About me
Hi, I'm Michael. I'm from the suburbs of Chicago and graduated from the University of Wisconsin–Madison with degrees in Finance, Investment & Banking and Risk Management & Insurance. I enjoy problems that sit at the intersection of finance, strategy, risk, and analytics – especially when the answer is not obvious and the work requires both quantitative analysis and judgment.
Since graduating, I have started my career at Guidehouse in its financial transformation practice, working with healthcare organizations. At the same time, I have continued building independent analytics and investing projects. My focus in my first role is simple: be a sponge, learn quickly, contribute wherever I can, and knock my project work out of the park.
Résumé
Download PDF →Work by area
Open the Work page →Open an area to see its projects.
Consulting & Strategy6 projectsClient, case-competition, and research work that frames a business problem, builds the evidence, and lands on a recommendation a team can act on.
- Rigby Growth StrategyClient deck + written deliverable
- Snow Hawk E-Scooter Business CaseBusiness case + presentation
- Cargill Supply-Chain StrategyStrategy presentation
- Communication Gaps for Junior ConsultantsResearch report + writing portfolio
- Social Inflation & Casualty RiskField presentation + research brief
- Biotech Risk ConsultingClient risk case
Analytics & Risk Modeling4 projectsData analysis, simulation, and risk-financing work that explains a pattern, sizes the uncertainty, and turns the output into a decision.
- PhillyCycle Rental AnalyticsAnalytics case + data workbook
- IndoCabs Cancellation AnalyticsAnalytics case + workbook
- Risk Modeling & SimulationTechnical modeling suite
- Hypocom Risk-Financing CaseRisk case report + simulation
Finance & Investing8 projectsEquity research, options, credit, and trading work focused on the assumptions that drive an investment, the downside that can change it, and the position that follows.
- NVIDIA Equity ResearchStock pitch + financial model
- SPCX Artificial Scarcity TradeOptions case study
- Target Capital BudgetingFinancial model + recommendation
- Rosetta Stone IPO PricingExcel model
- Paramount WACC and DCFExcel model
- Three-Statement ModelExcel model
- MicroStrategy Convertible Bond ModelValuation model + brief
- Derivatives & Hedging TradesPaper-trading logs + brief
Builds2 projectsSoftware I have built for research and paper trading: data pipelines, dashboards, and the controls that keep them honest.
- Algorithmic Paper-Trading PlatformSoftware build + strategy inventory
- Equity Research WorkbenchPython / Streamlit app
Selected work
The projects I would point to first. Each page has the question, what I did, the key charts, and the original documents.
Rigby Growth Strategy
A growth plan for a Capitol Square bar: target customers, events, student outreach, promotions and card payments. Client revenue figures redacted.
Snow Hawk E-Scooter Business Case
A go/no-go case for a winter e-scooter: 9.8M-person target market, $750 price, $960K launch cost, GO recommendation.
PhillyCycle Rental Analytics
An analysis of nearly half a million bike rentals to explain ridership patterns, test hypotheses, and identify operating implications across customer segments and seasons.
Hypocom Risk-Financing Case
A group case that simulated a manufacturer’s cash flows under fire, steel-price, competitor, and strike risk, then compared five ways to finance those risks against a $6M free-cash-flow floor.
NVIDIA Equity Research
A Buy recommendation with a $238 scenario-weighted target, built from a driver-based model and six industry conversations.
SPCX Artificial Scarcity Trade
A defined-risk bear put spread on SpaceX’s post-IPO lockup supply, and an honest post-mortem on why the thesis and the contract diverged.
MicroStrategy Convertible Bond Model
A binomial valuation of Strategy’s 2028 convertible, where bitcoin drives both the default risk and the conversion value.
Derivatives & Hedging Trades
Three hedged paper trades (a delta-hedged short SPX put, an MSTR/bitcoin-ETF pair, and an inverse-ETF hedge), logged and reconciled.